Last week wasn’t the debut I wanted, going 1-3, but I’m back and fired up. Any seasoned sports gambler will tell you that it’s about coming out ahead over time, and that there are bad weeks even for the sharpest of sharps. After a good start of the week betting on various 2020 elections, I’m hoping that this weekend can rebound from the awful one I had last time.
Disclaimer: All of the information in the article is current as of 10:30 AM (ET) on Saturday. As mentioned above, ALWAYS check to make sure that there are no significant inactives that will negatively impact the chances of your bet hitting. Additionally, if the odds you’re seeing for a particular line/total are significantly different from what I got (say 4-5 points) then I would advise looking into it, because there is likely a valid circumstance that has emerged to cause such a shift
Liberty (+17) at Virginia Tech
I don’t see this being any more than a two TD Tech win. Liberty has become a meme at this for a variety of reasons, but there’s a reason why they’re ranked as a top 25 team. Malik Willis is a legitimate pro prospect who can beat you with his arm or legs, as he’s done to several teams so far this year.
UNC (-10) at Duke
Ok, ok, ok...I know. I foolishly thought UNC would waltz through the UVA game last week in Charlottesville. However, we Clemson fans have seen first hand how good that UVA line is. I should’ve put less faith in UNC’s mediocre DL holding up, but UNC does not have that problem this week against a weak Duke offense. Our favorite transfer, Chase Brice, and the Duke offense have been clicking a little bit better recently, but I can’t see them keeping up with a fired up UNC in this one. If I’m wrong about this game then I’ll officially start fading UNC, and that’s the DLG promise.
Tulane (-3) at ECU
Tulane has been hard to project this year, but I just don’t think ECU will be able to stop Tulane’s rushing offense enough to win, so I’m happy taking Tulane at the magic number of 3.
Clemson Homer Bet Corner
I want to start dedicating a section of my betting picks specifically to the Clemson game that week. I know that readers might not be that into gambling: maybe you have some leftover money in an online account from your last stint gambling and want to play it on a game you’re going to watch, or maybe you want to put in a little money to make Clemson’s game more interesting (doesn’t really apply this week since we’re cooking a stew of interesting narratives in this one, but still). So, I’ll try to find an angle that I think provides good value and gives you a decent shot of winning.
This week I’m going with the Over with the Total set at 50. Last week has me fully confident in DJ Uiagalelei leading this offense, and with a hopefully healthier WR corps we should be putting up around 4 TDs against the Irish defense. On the other side of the ball, I unfortunately like the matchup of ND’s good OL and RB against a Clemson defense with arguably it’s best 3 run defenders out (Davis, Skalski, Jones Jr).