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Argonaut's playoff picture: Here are 16 scenarios and the odds of each playing out

This is what I think the committee will do based on who wins the games next week. PAC12 is out period. Alabama and Ohio St need help, but Alabama has a 72% chance to make the playoffs.

The Odds to Win Conference Champ are based on FiveThirtyEight's % chances posted for next week. FYI, overall, they have Clemson with the highest % chance to win the Natty at 21%.

The file is ordered based on seeding, so comment on that as well. 51% chance that we get the Clemson Bama part III in the semis this year (73% chance assuming Clemson wins the ACC).

These opinions are not necessarily those of the Proprietors of Shakin' The Southland.