Evaluating the 2009-2013 Atlantic Division Recruiting Classes

Rob Carr

We looked at the 2013 Atlantic Division recruiting cycle earlier and now will examine how these teams fared from 2009 to 2013 in recruiting terms. Again, we’ve pulled data from the experts (www.rivals.com and www.scout.com) to put together quantitative data for this discussion. The time period chosen allows us to get an idea (A) how these teams have recruited over the past five seasons and (B) some insight on what we can expect out of these squads (from freshmen to redshirt seniors). As always, please take these data as a starting point for your assessment of ACC Atlantic talent. I encourage you, if you find an interesting item here, to go research for yourself and provide insight that either support or dispute data presented here. Also recall that the "expert" opinions generated by the recruiting services were formed when these players were in high school, so it is also interesting to correlate their early assessments with results seen on the field at the collegiate level.

We’ll again begin by examining class sizes. The class sizes depend upon an array of factors ranging from injury to redshirt status to discipline, etc…Below you can see the data in both chart and table form.

Class_size_medium

Class Size

Team

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

AVERAGE

Clemson

12

24

29

20

23

21.6

Boston College

18

21

23

18

15

19

Florida State

21

24

29

19

22

23

Maryland

26

22

21

24

22

23

NC State

27

19

20

22

23

22.2

Syracuse

16

31

26

22

19

22.8

Wake

23

19

17

19

25

20.6

As shown above, the average over the past five cycles ranges from BC’s 19 per class to UMd/FSU’s 23. Clemson, on average, signed more than only Wake Forest and Boston College. As we’ve noted in years past, Dabo Swinney’s first class of 2009 was the lowest of any class in this data set, was certainly very unusual, and brought down Clemson’s overall average.

While getting bodies in is certainly one thing, the other item to examine is quality. Here, we defer to the national recruiting analysts for insight. Below you’ll find data showing the "quality" athlete that each team brought in based on an a Rivals/Scout star average for player per class.

Star_rating_medium

Average Star Rating (per player)

Team

Service

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

AVERAGE

Clemson

Scout

3.58

3.09

3.24

3.35

3.35

3.32

Rivals

3.50

3.35

3.34

3.45

3.30

3.39

Average

3.54

3.22

3.29

3.40

3.33

3.36

Boston College

Scout

2.33

2.71

2.75

2.59

2.27

2.53

Rivals

2.47

2.86

2.67

2.75

2.53

2.66

Average

2.40

2.79

2.71

2.67

2.40

2.59

Florida State

Scout

3.45

3.54

3.71

3.95

3.41

3.61

Rivals

3.62

3.50

3.55

3.79

3.57

3.61

Average

3.53

3.52

3.63

3.87

3.49

3.61

Maryland

Scout

2.85

2.86

2.67

2.75

2.77

2.78

Rivals

3.08

3.10

2.81

2.91

2.95

2.97

Average

2.96

2.98

2.74

2.83

2.86

2.87

NC State

Scout

2.63

2.89

2.50

2.64

2.65

2.66

Rivals

2.78

3.05

2.75

2.77

2.83

2.84

Average

2.70

2.97

2.63

2.70

2.74

2.75

Syracuse

Scout

2.14

2.37

2.50

2.68

2.47

2.43

Rivals

2.33

2.55

2.46

2.64

2.58

2.51

Average

2.24

2.46

2.48

2.66

2.53

2.47

Wake

Scout

2.43

2.56

2.56

2.47

2.48

2.50

Rivals

2.55

2.74

2.73

2.84

2.70

2.71

Average

2.49

2.65

2.65

2.66

2.59

2.61

Again, this data is no surprise. Clemson and FSU—with the Seminoles having a clear advantage over Clemson during this time span—dominated the rest of the Division as they were the only schools to have over a 3 star average during any cycle.

The overall assessment points to Florida State being the clear recruiting leader of the division based on the above numbers. Clemson’s star talent combined with the anomaly of a 2009 class has to put it in second with Maryland the third best overall recruiting school over the past five cycles. Wake Forest and conference newcomer Syracuse can fight amongst themselves over who has pulled the least favorable group during this period.

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