Tigers head to Coral Gables

Christian Diaz

Miami Hurricanes (25-15, 8-10 ACC) vs. #20 Clemson Tigers (26-11, 12-6 ACC)

Miami is roughly where I expected Clemson to be this season. Their starting pitchers and closer have carried them while the offense has been downright dreadful, producing just 4.5 runs per game with a .254 team average, 231st in the nation, and a .327 SLG%. They are starting 4 rookies in the infield, 2 of them JUCOs, and have no consistency in LF either. Freshman 3B David Thompson leads the offense with 3 HRs and 27 RBIs, after being slowly eased into the everyday lineup.

Miami has faced the #6 SOS while Clemson's is #16, mostly because of the difference between Florida and SC on our schedules, plus they've already faced FSU. They have not done well in conference and whipped up on the OOC slate with the exception of Florida, who took the series 2-1. The Canes lost series to Duke, UNC, UVA and FSU 2-1. Their only series wins in the ACC were VT and Maryland.

Clemson AD Series Preview

Clemson and Miami (FL) have met 56 times on the diamond, with the Hurricanes holding a 29-26-1 lead in the series dating to the 1977 season, with a 14-9-1 lead in Coral Gables. The two teams have not met in Coral Gables since 2008, when Miami swept one of the worst Clemson teams of this decade. Last year in Clemson, we took 2 of 3 by a slim margin of 8-6. Jack is 18-17 against Miami.

Sunday's game will be on CSS and ESPN3.

Last Week:

Miami defeated Bethune-Cookman 6-1, and took 2 against Maryland last weekend.

Clemson swept Wake Forest. The midweek game against Furman was postponed due to weather until May 7th.

Weekend Starters:

Friday, 7pm:

Throws Player Rec ERA IP H R ER BB Ks
LHP Christian Diaz 3-2 1.78 60.2 66 17 12 11 37
RHP Daniel Gossett 4-2 3.04 56.1 49 26 18 20 51

Saturday, 7pm:

Throws Player Rec ERA IP H R ER BB Ks
LHP Bryan Radziewski 5-1 1.11 40.2 22 9 5 10 55
LHP Matthew Crownover 5-0 2.54 39.0 34 11 11 10 23

Sunday, 1pm:

Throws Player Rec ERA IP H R ER BB Ks
LHP Andrew Suarez 2-3 3.86 46.2 56 27 20 12 33
RHP Clate Schmidt 3-1 4.07 42.0 57 21 19 19 22

Hitting Comparison

Team Batting Statistics
BA OBP SLG R/9 2B 3B HR RBI BB HBP SB-ATT FLD%
Clemson .278 .350 .369 5.3 58 9 13 170 133 15 59/86 .972
Miami .256 .358 .330 4.4 58 6 8 160 167 42 45/69 .968

This is one of the few teams we'll see that slugs worse than us. Just going through the stats, I find it alarming that only 3 bench hitters have more than 20 ABs: Costigan, who should be starting DH since he's raking the ball; Maleeke Gibson, and Kevin Bradley. Mike Triller is batting 3-for-8 and Jackson Campana has disappeared despite having a hit in one of his two ABs, with 3.1 IP as a reliever.

Sometimes Jack has no depth in the postseason because he doesn't use players the right way during the season. If we're not RS'ing them, let them have a few ABs. Hell let them finish up when we're up in late innings or give them a 3-inning start.

Clemson Prospective Lineup
Pos Player BA R H 2B HR RBI BB
LF Tyler Slaton .344 12 33 3 0 9 12
CF Tom Brittle .274 29 37 4 1 12 17
C Garrett Boulware .316 26 42 6 7 31 12
DH Shane Kennedy .328 25 41 4 2 21 24
2B Steve Wilkerson .286 18 36 10 1 20 11
RF Steven Duggar .299 26 44 6 2 22 11
SS Tyler Krieger .271 15 35 6 0 14 11
1B Jon McGibbon .229 19 32 4 0 21 11
3B Jay Baum .217 14 26 4 0 6 16
DH x-Joe Costigan .346 3 9 5 0 6 2
Miami Prospective Lineup
Pos Player BA R H 2B HR RBI BB
1B Chris Barr .235 22 20 1 0 5 19
2B/SS Alex Hernandez .277 30 38 10 1 20 22
RF Chantz Mack .299 28 40 9 0 20 20
DH Alex San Juan .313 12 40 5 1 16 13
LF Michael Broad .250 12 24 4 1 15 10
CF Dale Carey .185 16 17 2 1 5 14
C Garrett Kennedy .254 7 17 1 1 8 15
3B Tyler Palmer .254 9 15 2 0 5 5
SS Brandon Lopez .227 12 25 1 0 4 14
3B x-David Thompson .269 8 28 9 3 28 14
Brad Fieger .284 9 33 9 0 21 6

Miami brought in what was supposed to be a good recruiting class, and they play them, but they're taking their lumps as a result.

Team Pitching

Team Pitching Statistics

ERA W-L SHO/CBO Saves IP H R ER BB Ks
Clemson 3.15 26-11 6/5 11 337.0 327 149 118 117 238
Miami 3.65 25-15 5/4 11 358.0 359 178 145 115 283

Miami's pen consists of the closer and not much else. Senior righthander Eric Nedeljkovic has eight of the team's 11 saves along with a 2-1 record, an 0.92 ERA, and a .171 opponents' batting average in 19.2 innings pitched over 18 relief appearances.

"He’s 90-92 on the gun, and what’s really improved is his breaking ball," Morris said. "He’s got a hard slider that he’s throwing now, and a changeup. He’s locating and he’s very, very competitive. Nothing really affects him. He has no problem throwing a breaking ball 3-2 with two outs in a tie ballgame. Last year he did not have a breaking ball."

-Baseball America

Of the rest of the pen, only Thomas Woodrey has been solid, with a 4-0 record and 2.76 ERA in 32.2 IP. Everyone else has ERAs over 6.00. Awful. If we can knock out the starters, it'll be Woodrey then Nedeljkovic, because they don't have a prayer with anyone else.

Clemson's pen has been solid aside from a few guys. Meyer's ERA has dropped from OMG to 4.01 in 24.2 IP, as has Matt Campbell's of late. However the go-to guys are still Andrews (2.45 ERA), Erwin (2.61) and Schnell (1.86 in 19.1 IP). Clemson has a clear advantage here.

While I think this Miami team is capable of beating us 2-1 at home, I think Clemson wins the series 2-1 on the road. I think we'll get dominated by one of their starters but we'll get the others out early enough to get a lead in the late innings before the closer comes in.

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