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Two Deep Recruiting Comparison: Clemson vs. Boston College 2010

We continue to examine how Clemson's two-deep roster matched up to opponents from a season ago.  Today we compare Clemson and Boston College just prior to their late October '10 football matchup.  We were able to attain the two-deep roster posted on Tigernet prior to the Clemson/BC matchup for this exercise (special thanks to T-Net for this info and STS member RazzMcTazz for running down links to the pregame two-deep for us).

We should not have to tell you this, but there has been some commotion regarding what to take from these articles.  We expect you, the reader, to form an opinion of your own.  Often we will give you our take on things, but you should independently form your own thoughts based on information out there.  This article shows recruiting data for the two-deep roster.  It does not weigh experience nor does it evaluate coaching, preparation, etc...  We think this is an interesting and valuable tool and useful in overall program evaluation because there is a link between these star ratings and other metrics in both college football and the NFL.

Keep in mind as you look through this data that only players who were officially signed were given a "Star Rating".  Players who were not signed could not be quantitatively assessed a recruiting rating.  Such players get a "NA" rating and were not included in the averaged data.  Again, all data was attained from www.Scout.com and www.Rivals.com.  Players whose Scout/Rivals data was not available but were signed were assigned a "NR".

Figure 1 and Table I both show an average of offensive players, defensive players, and specialist listed on the two-deep roster.   Tables II through IV show the two-deep roster used for analysis along with the recruiting ratings for each player on the roster.

The matchup numbers show a Clemson team with superior recruiting talent.  The Tigers averaged nearly a full star/player better than their Northeastern foe offensively, 0.56 stars per player better defensively, and 0.55 stars per player on special teams.  Overall, Clemson maintained nearly ¾ of a star advantage per player over the Eagles.

Data can be seen below and after the Jump.

Two_deep_talent_comparison_2010_medium
Figure 1:  Average Star Rating per Player (Two-Deep Depth Chart)

Table I:  Average Star Rating Per Player (Two-Deep Depth Chart)

Team

Recruiting Service

Offense

Defense

Specialists

Overall Average

Clemson

Scout

3.52

3.36

3.00

3.35

Rivals

3.57

3.45

2.91

3.39

Average

3.55

3.41

2.95

3.37

Boston College

Scout

2.39

2.80

2.30

2.53

Rivals

2.74

2.90

2.50

2.75

Average

2.57

2.85

2.40

2.64

 

 

 

Star-divide

Table II:  Star Ratings per Offensive Player  

Clemson Offense

Boston College Offense

Pos.

#

Player

Hgt

Wgt

Cl.

Scout

Rivals

Pos.

#

Player

Hgt

Wgt

Cl.

Scout

Rivals

LT

61

CHRIS HAIRSTON

6-7

325

*Gr.

2

3

LT

74

ANTHONY CASTONZO

6-7

308

Sr.

2

2

63

Brandon Thomas

6-4

300

*Fr.

4

4

73

John Wetzel

6-8

303

So.

2

2

LG

73

DAVID SMITH

6-5

315

*Jr.

3

3

LG

75

NATHAN RICHMAN

6-6

300

Jr.

2

3

62

Mason Cloy

6-3

295

*Jr.

3

3

77

Emmett Cleary

6-7

300

So.

2

3

C

55

DALTON FREEMAN

6-5

285

*So.

4

4

C

69

MARK SPINNEY

6-4

282

Jr.

4

3

78

Ben Ramsey

6-4

280

*Sr.

N/A

N/A

75

Nathan Richman

6-6

300

Jr.

2

3

RG

74

ANTOINE McCLAIN

6-5

330

Jr.

4

4

RG

78

THOMAS CLAIBORNE

6-3

332

Sr.

2

3

54

Matt Sanders

6-6

320

*So.

3

3

62

Ian White

6-5

288

Fr.

2

2

RT

72

LANDON WALKER

6-6

310

*Jr.

4

4

RT

66

RICHARD LAPHAM

6-8

323

Sr.

2

4

79

Phillip Price

6-5

300

*Jr.

N/A

N/A

77

Emmett Cleary

6-7

300

So.

2

3

TE

83

DWAYNE ALLEN

6-4

255

*So.

4

4

TE

81

CHRIS PANTALE

6-6

248

So.

3

3

82

Drew Traylor

6-5

245

*Jr.

3

2

87

Lars Anderson

6-3

240

Jr.

3

3

80

Brandon Ford

6-4

220

*So.

3

4

WR

3

IFEANYI MOMAH

6-6

240

Sr.

2

3

WR

6

DeANDRE HOPKINS

6-1

195

Fr.

4

4

80

Johnathan Coleman

6-4

214

Fr.

2

2

21

Xavier Dye

6-5

210

Sr.

3

3

QB

7

CHASE RETTIG

6-3

210

Fr.

3

3

QB

11

KYLE PARKER

6-1

200

*So.

4

4

16

Mike Marscovetra

6-4

210

So.

2

2

10

Tajh Boyd

6-1

230

*Fr.

5

4

or

8

Josh Bordner

6-4

219

Fr.

2

3

RB

23

ANDRE ELLINGTON

5-10

190

*So.

4

4

RB

2

MONTEL HARRIS

5-10

200

Jr.

2

2

8

Jamie Harper

6-0

235

Jr.

5

4

34

Andre Williams

6-0

216

Fr.

3

3

FB

30

CHAD DIEHL

6-2

265

*Jr.

2

3

FB

36

JAMES McCLUSKEY

6-2

252

Sr.

3

3

48

Kasey Nobles

6-1

250

*Sr.

N/A

N/A

13

Codi Boek

6-3

239

Sr.

3

3

WR

18

JARON BROWN

6-2

200

*So.

3

3

WR

86

BOBBY SWIGERT

6-1

180

Fr.

3

3

87

Terrance Ashe

6-2

200

*Gr.

N/A

N/A

83

Alex Amidon

5-11

186

Fr.

2

2

WR

7

BRYCE McNEAL

6-1

180

*Fr.

4

4

26

Marquan Jones

6-0

195

Jr.

3

4

 

Table III:  Star Ratings per Defensive Player  

Clemson Defense

Boston College Defense

Pos.

#

Player

Hgt

Wgt

Cl.

Scout

Rivals

Pos.

#

Player

Hgt

Wgt

Cl.

Scout

Rivals

DE

93

Da'QUAN BOWERS

6-4

275

Jr.

5

5

DE

56

MAX HOLLOWAY

6-2

250

So.

2

3

97

Malliciah Goodman

6-4

265

So.

4

4

33

Dan Williams

6-3

248

Jr.

3

3

NG

98

BRANDON THOMPSON

6-2

310

Jr.

4

4

LDT

96

KALEB RAMSEY

6-3

295

Jr.

4

3

89

Miguel Chavis

6-5

285

Sr.

3

3

92

Dillon Quinn

6-6

299

Fr.

3

4

DT

99

JARVIS JENKINS

6-4

315

Sr.

4

4

RDT

55

DAMIK SCAFE

6-3

309

Sr.

3

3

94

Rennie Moore

6-4

270

*Jr.

3

3

97

Conor O'Neal

6-3

286

So.

2

2

BE

40

ANDRE BRANCH

6-5

260

*Jr.

2

2

DE

47

BRAD NEWMAN

6-2

257

Sr.

2

2

90

Kourtnei Brown

6-5

250

*Jr.

4

4

91

Kasim Edebali

6-2

248

Fr.

2

2

SLB

34

QUANDON CHRISTIAN

6-3

215

*Fr.

3

3

SLB

94

MARK HERZLICH

6-4

244

Sr.

3

3

8

Justin Parker

6-1

225

Fr.

3

4

53

Mike Morrissey

6-2

225

Sr.

N/A

N/A

MLB

42

CORICO HAWKINS

5-11

230

So.

3

3

MLB

40

LUKE KUECHLY

6-3

235

So.

3

3

33

Spencer Shuey

6-3

250

*Fr.

3

3

50

Will Thompson

6-1

235

Jr.

4

3

WLB

20

BRANDON MAYE

6-2

235

*Jr.

2

3

WLB

32

KEVIN PIERRE-LOUIS

6-1

215

Fr.

3

4

46

Jonathan Willard

6-2

220

*So.

3

4

49

Steele Divitto

6-3

220

Fr.

4

3

CB

12

MARCUS GILCHRIST

5-11

190

Sr.

4

4

FCB

4

DONNIE FLETCHER

6-1

200

Jr.

3

3

15

Coty Sensabaugh

6-0

180

*Jr.

2

2

18

C.J. Jones

5-11

173

Fr.

3

3

SS

2

DeANDRE McDANIEL

6-1

215

Sr.

4

4

SS

23

JIM NOEL

6-4

186

So.

3

3

32

Carlton Lewis

6-3

215

*So.

3

3

26

Dominick LeGrande

6-3

215

Jr.

2

2

FS

5

JONATHAN MEEKS

6-1

205

So.

4

4

FS

27

OKECHUKWU OKOROHA

6-1

205

So.

3

4

or

31

RASHARD HALL

6-2

200

*So.

3

3

49

Hampton Hughes

6-3

200

So.

N/A

N/A

CB

29

XAVIER BREWER

5-11

190

*So.

4

3

BCB

9

DeLEON GAUSE

5-11

184

Sr.

2

2

or

36

BYRON MAXWELL

6-1

205

*Gr.

4

4

25

Chris Fox

5-11

198

Sr.

2

3

Table IV:  Star Ratings per "Specialist"

Clemson Specialists

Boston College Specialists

Pos.

#

Player

Hgt

Wgt

Cl.

Scout

Rivals

Pos.

#

Player

Hgt

Wgt

Cl.

Scout

Rivals

PK

39

CHANDLER CATANZARO

6-2

205

*Fr.

N/A

N/A

PK

85

NATE FREESE

6-0

180

Fr.

2

2

13

Spencer Benton

6-2

195

*So.

2

2

46

Ryan Quigley

6-3

189

Jr.

2

2

19

Richard Jackson

6-0

195

*Gr.

3

3

P

46

RYAN QUIGLEY

6-3

189

Jr.

2

2

P

96

DAWSON ZIMMERMAN

6-2

205

Jr.

3

2

43

Gerald Levano

6-2

210

So.

N/A

N/A

19

Richard Jackson

6-0

195

*Gr.

3

3

KO

85

Nate Freese

6-0

180

Fr.

2

2

KO

13

Spencer Benton

6-2

195

*So.

2

2

LS

57

Sean Flaherty

6-2

204

So.

N/A

N/A

LS

71

Matt Skinner

6-7

230

*So.

2

2

40

Luke Kuechly

6-3

235

So.

3

3

52

Phillip Fajgenbaum

6-0

225

*Fr.

N/A

N/A

H

14

Billy Flutie

6-2

186

Sr.

2

2

H

16

Michael Wade

6-2

210

*Gr.

3

3

43

Gerald Levano

6-2

210

So.

N/A

N/A

14

Donny McElveen

6-2

205

*Fr.

N/A

N/A

PR

2

Montel Harris

5-10

200

Jr.

2

2

PR

12

Marcus Gilchrist

5-11

190

Sr.

4

4

86

Bobby Swigert

6-1

180

Fr.

3

3

18

Jaron Brown

6-2

200

*So.

3

3

KOR

25

Chris Fox

5-11

198

Sr.

2

3

KOR

23

Andre Ellington

5-10

190

*So.

4

4

84

Shakim Phillips

6-2

203

Fr.

3

4

12

Marcus Gilchrist

5-11

190

Sr.

4

4

 

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There may be some southern bias in the star-ratings, but not THAT much.

Star rankings aren’t an exact science, but on average they are meaningful. Wow! Look up and down the rosters of those two teams and tell me how Clemson lost to BC. Dabo fans can make all the excuses they want, but to me this is a clear example of Dabo’s crew doing less with more and Spaziani’s crew doing more with less. This article (with the score written in magic marker across the top) should be hung on the wall in Dabo’s and TDP’s office.

FigureFour: Thanks again for doing this. Very interesting. What the did you mean by “there has been some commotion regarding what to take from these articles”? What commotion? The comments section hasn’t seemed very riled up. Did TDP or IPTAY send some goons over and threaten you not to do any more pre-game 2-deep analyses? Better wear a bullet-proof vest. There’s some big money involved here. :-)

by RazzMcTazz on May 25, 2011 5:11 AM EDT reply actions  

Everyone has a different interpretation

BC fans will certainly just say that our players are overrated, but when they say that they must also say that all southern players are overrated because these guys are getting offers from the other big programs down here like FSU, UGA, UNC, AU, Bammer, etc.

by DrB on May 25, 2011 8:33 AM EDT up reply actions  

There are a lot of folks who don’t think recruiting comparison via star rating is worhtwhile, for various reasons. We believe that recruiting the best talent is important and that the star ratings from national recruiting websites is about the best way that we can unbiasly capture data for a lot of schools.

There is no doubt that player development and execution of basic football fundamentals are the most important areas to be mastered if you want to win football games. (You probably have read the statement “You cannot outrecruit bad coaching” here more than once). However, having higher quality talent definitely gives you more tools to win games.

BC fans (in particular) are quick to bash the player quality theory by pointing to Clemson’s failures against the Eagles. To that point I’ll say this: Clemson’s incoming players are overall much more talented based on the opinions of the experts. Boston College has, over the years, done a better job developing players into good, hard nosed, fundamentally sound team members. Clemson did not lose to the Eagles last season because of a lack of talent but lost because BC’s coaching staff had that team better prepared to win than our staff did, plain and simple. That is what I take out of the recruiting data and from actually watching the football game.

Clemson Sports Analysis and Insight
www.shakinthesouthland.com

by FIGUREFOUR on May 25, 2011 8:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

Then they say we only care about star ratings

Which if you read this site more than once a month, you’d know to be the total opposite of truth.

We only use the star rating for data posts like this one. In each individual recruit’s case, I detail whether I think the rating is bullshit or not, if I even bothered to look it up. Ratings are done by guys like Jamie Newberg or Mike fucking Farrell.

Fact is, no independent viewer would look at these two teams and say the talent and speed was equal, whether you looked at the ratings or not. What you’d see last year is one team with their heads up their collective asses, and another that does what they set out to do without getting too complicated or flashy.

by DrB on May 25, 2011 8:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

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