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Recruiting Comparison: Clemson and Boston College

This week we will get an idea of the talent on both Clemson's and Boston College's squads based solely on data pulled from Rivals and Scout from 2006 - 2010 recruiting classes.  Clemson's average star rating was consistently much better than its opponent the past few weeks and it appears as though this trend continues again as we prepare for the BC Eagles. 

Clemson has, over the past 5 years, brought in more talent on an average star rating each year than Boston College.  This means that if the experts are correct pegging talent coming out of high school, the Tigers should be much more talented when you compare starters.  This also means that if depth is not a factor, Clemson should be able to win one on one matchups based on average talent per player alone.  The item that disturbs me here with this data--and I have seen this a couple of times before--is the difference between the Rivals and Scout rankings, particularly with the 2006 numbers.  I went back and double checked the BC numbers and the two services had full point differences on many of the players BC recruited which drove the Scout rankings down when compared to the Rivals numbers.  As this process is an opinionated process, this stuff happens each year.  (more after the jump)

Clemson_bc_star_rankings_medium





Figure 1:  Yearly Average Recruiting Star Ratings

Star-divide

Figure 2, shown below, examines the class sizes of the past five recruiting classes for each school.  The average class size between the two schools were very close in sizes, with BC holding a slight advantage from a numbers stand point.  BC had a big class in '08 and Clemson had an extremely small class in '09. 

This comparison shows that quality depth should not be an issue for the Tigers as we prepare for the Eagles.  We have brought in/signed (from a numbers standpoint) comparable quantities of players when compared to our friends from New England. 

Clemson_bc_class_sizes_medium 

Figure 2:  Class Size per Team

The overall recruiting rankings show Clemson having a huge lead in the average class ranking over the past 5 years.  Clemson has been dominant when you look at the overall national recruiting rankings year after year.  BC has a pretty good year in 2008 but has lagged behind Clemson in terms of bringing in highly ranked recruiting classes.  Clemson should have a big advantage from an overall team talent standpoint come Saturday.

Clemson_bc_national_recruiting_rankings_medium

Figure 3:  Annual National Recruiting Rankings

Clemson has done a superior job--according to the "experts"--recruiting over the course of the past half decade.  The data in Figure 3 shows a combination of the two items we saw above:  Clemson has consistently done a better job on the recruiting trail than BC over the past decade.  With this apparent talent gap and comparable depth, I have to give Clemson a definite edge based solely on this data and nothing else.

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BC's run-D is #4, and BC's pass-D is #80 in FBS.

I’m not 100% convinced that BC’s run-D is as good as their NCAA ranking. But I’m OK with Clemson beating BC through the air. I remember Clemson’s 2007 loss (of the Atlantic) to BC when Spence spent most of his play-calls trying to run the ball against BC’s #2 ranked run defense for 1.5 YPC even though Cullen Harper was lighting up BC’s #110 ranked pass defense for 5.7 YPA (67% completion rate). Even the ESPN announcers repeatedly expressed their incredulity at the stupidity of Spence.

I know that a lot of folks on this board are big on running the ball more. But I think that this is probably a time when you take advantage of the mismatches and go pass heavy until it’s time to grind the clock. The teams that beat BC this sesaon, did so predominantly through the air, with roughly a 2:1 pass/run ratio. Thoughts?

by RazzMcTazz on Oct 26, 2010 6:28 PM EDT reply actions  

Personally ,

I am tickled as I can be we don’t have Rob Spense anymore . Not liking what we have now either , but this Saturday I , if it were me making the calls I would do whatever the hell possible to get the ball in Andre Ellingtons’ hands – whether its run or check down or Wildcat , I don’t care ……just get the ball in this kids hands and let him work . My guess is that will be more successful behind our OL , but I dought BC can stop him coming from between the tackles or in the flats . Our freshman recievers have showed some promise though , and better work ethic than our seniors (wr’s) , so I would give Parker the chance to show his ass against BC’s pass defense also .
However , if Steele has our defense ready , I think we should shut BC out , unless we just have a complete melt down . I wouldn’t look past BC , but NC State , Florida State , and USC are my next scary scenarios….. just my 2 cents ( probably all it’s worth ;-) )

by tyeargin on Oct 26, 2010 10:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

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